Despite going titleless since the Cervezas Victoria Malaga Open in July, the current rankings' number ones nurse a 1.635-point lead in The Race 2023 with only two tournaments left on the calendar.
There are still 2.500 points to be won between the two, meaning Martin Di Nenno and Franco Stupaczuk can still end the year on top, but it also means the two-seed needs to be near-perfect to end the season.
Even so, just by losing in the first round at both the Mexico Padel Open and the Boss Barcelona Master Final, Coello and Tapia would still earn 305 points.
The result Coello and Tapia need at the Skechers Mexico Padel Open
Because of their significant advantage in the standings, Coello and Tapia depend on themselves completely in Mexico to officially be crowned 2023's number ones.
If the Spanish-Argentinian duo makes the final in Mexico, that would mathematically confirm them as number ones for the year - even if Di Nenno and Stupaczuk win the title.
Needless to say, then, is that winning the Skechers Mexico Padel Open would also confirm number-one status. Should they fall in the semi-finals or beforehand, they can still end the week as 2023's number ones, but they depend on Di Nenno and Stupaczuk's result.
The result Di Nenno and Stupaczuk need at the Skechers Mexico Padel Open
Before going into multiple scenarios, there is a very simple way to look at the Skechers Mexico Padel Open 2023. It is, almost literally, title or bust for Di Nenno and Stupaczuk as they need to make up 465 points on Coello and Tapia to remain alive heading into the Boss Barcelona Master Final.
Even in the best scenario for the Superpibes, which is Coello and Tapia lose in the first or second round, the Argentinians would still have to reach the final to mathematically stay in the fight. Moreover, even if Coello and Tapia lose in Mexico's first round and Di Nenno and Stupaczuk win the title, the Superpibes would have to win the Master Final as well to overtake the current first-ranked duo.
Should Coello and Tapia lose in the quarter- or semi-finals, only a title win would keep Di Nenno and Stupaczuk within a mathematical chance heading into the Master Final.
As said before, however, if Coello and Tapia get themselves into the final, Di Nenno and 'Stupa's result is irrelevant - the battle would be over.
Below, we map all of the possible outcomes and scenarios!